Following their 23-16 loss to the New York Jets, the Cleveland Browns report fell to 10-5.
CLEVELAND — Following their 23-16 loss to the New York Jets on Sunday, the Cleveland Browns’ report fell to 10-5.
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However whereas the Browns have been unable to punch their ticket to the playoffs on Sunday, hope stays.
In keeping with superior analytics web site 5 Thirty Eight, Cleveland now has a 57 % probability of qualifying for postseason play. That quantity is down from the 92 % probability that the Browns possessed per week in the past, with Cleveland’s playoff hopes now hinging on the ultimate week of the common season.
With one recreation left and the Pittsburgh Steelers having already clinched the AFC North, the Browns’ path to ending the NFL’s longest lively postseason drought is easy. With that in thoughts, let’s check out the place the Browns match into the AFC playoff image heading into the ultimate week of the common season.
AFC Wild Card
By 16 weeks, this is how the AFC Playoff image appears:
- Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (14-1)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3)
- Buffalo Payments (11-3)*
- Tennessee Titans (10-5)
- Miami Dolphins (10-5)
- Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
- Cleveland Browns (10-5)
- Indianapolis Colts (10-5)
Due to the Steelers’ division-clinching win over the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, the Browns’ playoff situation for this weekend is fairly easy: win they usually’re in. Due to their win over Indianapolis in Week 5, Cleveland owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Colts and would have the sting on Indianapolis in any two or three-way tie.
So if the Browns beat the Steelers at FirstEnergy Stadium, they will clinch their first postseason look since 2002. In the meantime, if Cleveland ties Pittsburgh, it could get in with one of many following situations additionally going down:
- Colts lose or tie to Jacksonville Jaguars
- Miami Dolphins lose to Buffalo Payments
- Baltimore Ravens lose to Cincinnati Bengals
- Tennessee Titans lose to the Houston Texans
- Titans tie Texans, Dolphins win vs. Payments, Ravens win vs. Bengals
Ought to the Browns lose to their Steelers, their playoff odds would then drop to 16 %, in keeping with 5 Thirty Eight. From there, the Browns would wish one of many following situations to happen with a purpose to qualify for postseason play:
- Colts lose to Jaguars
- Titans lose to Texans, Dolphins win/tie vs. Payments, Ravens win/tie vs. Bengals
Whereas 5 Thirty Eight at the moment provides the Browns a 57 % probability of creating the playoffs, the fact stays that Cleveland’s likelihood of creating the postseason is probably going larger than that.
With the Steelers having already locked up the division title and COVID-19-related rescheduling leading to them having but to get pleasure from a conventional bye week, it appears possible that Pittsburgh will relaxation its starters towards the Browns on Sunday. That line of pondering has been mirrored within the betting markets, the place Cleveland is at the moment a 6.5-point favourite to beat the Steelers.
With a -275 moneyline setting the Browns’ implied likelihood of beating Pittsburgh at 73.Three %, Cleveland’s odds of creating the playoffs seem larger than some forecasts could venture. Win on Sunday and the Browns are in.
Oddsmakers venture Cleveland to just do that.